rem813: (грех-грех-грех)
[personal profile] rem813
"People in the Third World aspire to First World living standards. They develop that aspiration through watching television, seeing advertisements for First World consumer products sold in their countries, and observing First World visitors to their countries. Even in the most remote villages and refugee camps today, people know about the outside world. Third World citizens are encouraged in that aspiration by First World and United Nations development agencies, which hold out to them the prospect of achieving their dream if they will only adopt the right policies, like balancing their national budgets, investing in education and infrastructure, and so on.
But no one at the U.N. or in First World governments is willing to acknowledge the dream's impossibility: the unsustainability of a world in which the Third World's large population were to reach and maintain current First World living standards. It is impossible for the First World to resolve that dilemma by blocking the Third World's efforts to catch up: South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Mauritius have already succeeded or are close to success; China and India are progressing rapidly by their own efforts; and the 15 rich Western European countries making up the European Union have just extended Union membership to 10 poorer countries of Eastern Europe, in effect thereby pledging to help those 10 countries catch up. Even if the human populations of the Third World did not exist, it would be impossible for the First World alone to maintain its present course, because it is not in a steady state but is depleting its own resources as well as those imported from the Third World. At present, it is untenable politically for First World leaders to propose to their own citizens that they lower their living standards, as measured by lower resource consumption and waste production rates. What will happen when it finally dawns on all those people in the Third World that current First World standards are unreachable for them, and that the First World refuses to abandon those standards for itself? Life is full of agonizing choices based on trade-offs, but that's the crudest trade-off that we shall have to resolve: encouraging and helping all people to achieve a higher standard of living, without thereby undermining that standard through overstressing global resources."

Jared Diamond "Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed"

Date: 2013-06-18 11:32 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mikhail-kvakin.livejournal.com
совершенно точно. А мы хоть и понимаем диагноз, а все равно отложим его в сторонку. На наш век хватит, альбо кто что-нибудь придумает, или что-нибудь такое случится.

Date: 2013-06-18 11:37 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] rem813.livejournal.com
это Вы ещё оптимистично рассуждаете, отметая точку зрения, что уже поздно что-то менять...
а Даймонд вообще замечательный - хоть и зануден местами в аргументации, но всегда логичен и не особенно "корректен".

Date: 2013-06-18 11:47 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mikhail-kvakin.livejournal.com
совсем не отметаю, и, может быть, неизбежная катастрофа - это и есть способ изменения. Единственное, что не поздно - это понять. что происходит ("и ясность понимания озарила ужас его положения" или что-то вроде про Иосифа в яме). Понять очень важно, . чтобы не "как собака".

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